We’re just one week into the new MLS season but both Toronto and New York City FC will be anxious for a win when they meet at BMO Field on Saturday. Toronto picked up a point from an entertaining encounter at San Jose last weekend while NYC went down 1-0 to Columbus Crew.
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— New York City FC (@NYCFC) March 3, 2020
New York City laboured for 87 minutes without Maxine Chanot who saw red early on so can the visitors claim a more positive result with 11 men on the field?
NYC FC topped the Eastern Conference at the end of the regular season in 2019 but the sportsbooks come down heavily in favour of the Canadian side. Toronto is available at odds of 1.83 for the win while New York is out at 4.00 with Bet365. Completing the moneyline market is the draw which is quoted at 3.81 with Sports Interaction.
Early season games are always tough to predict and there seems to be an element of home-field advantage in this market. There is a theory that NYC is not the force that qualified for the Champions League at the end of the previous campaign but there is enough attacking threat to force a share of the points at the very least.
We are edging towards that draw but before we make a prediction, let’s look at some prop bets for Saturday’s game.
Likely Prop Bets
New York has long since said goodbye to their first captain, David Villa, but there is plenty of potency in the 2020 roster. Brazilian striker Heber is the main threat and in his first season in NYC, he returned an impressive tally of 15 goals in 21 games.
For Toronto, Alejandro Pozuelo and Richie Laryea were on target in last weekend’s 2-2 draw at San Jose. As the club’s penalty taker, midfielder Pozuelo has healthy goals to game ratio in his time in Canada but the main goal-scoring responsibilities will fall, once again, on the shoulders of striker Jozy Altidore.
Get ready, @RodSmithTSN 😏
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) March 3, 2020
There are no individual player markets available as yet but these stats do suggest that there could be plenty of value in the goals props. We’ll start, therefore, with Both Teams to Score and this is quoted at 1.56 with Bodog. Three matches between these two sides in 2019 produced nine goals in total. BTTS would have dropped in on two of these three occasions but we’re confident enough to back it this time.
In terms of Total Goals, that average of three goals per game last season would suggest that we’re safe to back Over the 2.5 line. This option is quoted at odds of 1.60 with Spin Sports but we are going to be a shade braver and claim Over 3.5 at a more interesting 2.40 with PowerPlay.
Early season games can be volatile and tough to call but, having checked those prop bets, we’re going to stick with our opening prediction of a drawn game. New York City may not hit those 2019 heights but they are more of a threat than the moneyline odds suggest and we expect a tough afternoon for Toronto’s defence.
To use a well-worn saying, the best defence is a solid offence and we need Toronto’s attackers to be on top form. A high scoring draw is our preference for this game and, for your parlay, these three tips will hopefully lead to a profitable 90 minutes on Saturday.
- The Draw at 3.81 with Sports Interaction
- Both Teams to Score at 1.56 with Bodog
- Over 3.5 Goals at 2.40 with PowerPlay