NFL Conference Championship Picks and Prop Bets

Just like that, the NFL field is down to four. Two tickets to Super Bowl LV are up for grabs this weekend, and the path to the big game goes through the No. 1 seeds in both conferences. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers play host to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for NFC glory, while the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs welcome the upstart Buffalo Bills to Arrowhead Stadium for top honors in the AFC. Right on cue, it’s for CanadianBettingSites to showcase the very best NFL Conference Championship picks, including money line and point spread bets, over/unders, first-half props, and more.

nfl conference championship

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers

For the second week in a row, the ageless and unkillable Tom Brady squares off with another future Hall of Famer at quarterback on the road. After knocking off Drew Brees and the Saints in upset fashion, however, TB12’s Buccaneers are faced with a wholly different kind of challenge: Lambeau Field in the dead of winter, and a presumptive league MVP in Aaron Rodgers throwing darts for the home team.

Notably, the Bucs handed Green Bay its worst loss of the season back in Week 6, a 38-10 trouncing that saw running back Ronald Jones go for over 100 yards and record his only multi-touchdown game of the campaign to date. That game was in the friendly confines of Tampa, however — and you can bet that the lethal interception bug that plagued the Saints on Sunday won’t befall a second Bucs opponent in as many weeks.

Especially not atop the Frozen Tundra.

Pick the Packers (1.54) on the money line to win the NFC title over Tampa Bay. A $20 bet cashes out for $30.80 at Bet365.

Against the spread, Brady stans can find good value. Take Tampa Bay +3.5 (1.91), with a $20 wager at Unibet paying out $38.18.

NFL Conference ChampionshipsBet365BodogBetOnlineUnibetWilliam Hill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2.652.652.652.552.65
Green Bay Packers1.541.531.531.531.54
Buffalo Bills2.352.352.332.282.40
Kansas City Chiefs1.651.671.651.651.63

Packers vs Bucs Over/Under 51 Points

The Pack combined with the Rams to score 50 on Saturday. In four previous games against playoff teams this season, Green Bay and each respective opponent only went below 51 points once. Consider, however, the weather forecast for Sunday afternoon’s game: below-freezing temperatures and a 60% chance of snow showers.

These teams will still throw the ball around; such is the case when two all-time great quarterbacks are squaring off. But don’t expect a wide-open shootout given the frigid conditions.

Bang the under on 51 total points (1.87) between these two teams. A winning $20 ticket at Bodog redeems for $37.40.

Packers Over/Under 6.5 First-Quarter Points

So, can the Pack put a touchdown on the board in the first 15 minutes of action despite a favorable chance of snowfall and a ball-hawking Tampa Bay defense that picked off Drew Brees three times and denied all-world receiver Michael Thomas even a single catch on four targets? Consider that the Bucs haven’t given up seven points in an opening quarter in a month. That’s also how long it’s been since the Packers posted seven in the first period.

That streak is going to end. Don’t overthink it — Green Bay is due, and they will place a priority on starting fast with a Super Bowl trip on the line.

Take the over on 6.5 Green Bay points in the first quarter. A $20 bet at top sportsbooks will cash out for $36.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

The defending champs are staring down their toughest test in a long, long time. With reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes suffering a concussion during Sunday’s gutsy win against Cleveland, handicapping the AFC championship is suddenly far more fascinating than anyone could have anticipated.

Point blank, nobody knows as of this writing whether the Chiefs’ all-world quarterback will be able to play when Buffalo comes to town. Sure, Chad Henne came off the bench to make some clutch plays and put the Browns on ice, but these ain’t your father’s Bills. The AFC East champs have got to be salivating to high heaven knowing what Mahomes’ disappointing injury means for their possible paths to victory.

KC still has a ton of quality all over the field. But as of this moment, the smart money has to go on the visitors.

Pick Buffalo on the money line (2.40) to defeat the Chiefs and win the AFC title. Wagering $20 promises to pay out $48 at William Hill.

Against the spread, the Bills are even more attractive at +2.5. A winning $20 ticket at top sportsbooks would redeem for $40.

Chiefs vs Bills Over/Under 54 Points

Once again, it all comes down to Mahomes. The key however, is this — even if the Chiefs QB is cleared to play, this Buffalo team is explosive. Led by the gunslinging Josh Allen and NFL regular season catches and receiving yards leader Stefon Diggs, Sean McDermott’s team knows how to strike early and often, having scored below 27 points just one single time since the beginning of November.

With that in mind, it’s tempting to take the over. Resist that temptation. Chad Henne is Chad Henne; if he gets the ball for KC, the Bills won’t need 27 to win the game.

Bang the under on 54 total points (1.93) in the AFC Championship. Betting $20 at BetOnline cashes out for $38.60.

Chiefs Over/Under 13.5 First-Half Points

The story remains the same. Putting up two touchdowns in the first half isn’t easy no matter who you are, and while this Chiefs team tends to do exactly that like clockwork, this showdown for AFC glory arrives with too many question marks under center.

They can absolutely win this game scoring six, seven, 10 points in the first 30 minutes. Manage your bets accordingly.

Take the under on 13.5 points for Kansas City in the first half. A $20 wager will pay out an even $40 at top sportsbooks.