NFL Week 12 Best Bets: Cowboys, Bills Thanksgiving Day Favourites

Notice! Actual odds are subject to change and are correct as displayed only at the time of publishing: 10:45 AM 24.11.2021.

NFL Week 12 Best Bets: Cowboys, Bills Thanksgiving Day Favourites

A longstanding NFL tradition will be rekindled in Week 12, with a trio of games scheduled to coincide with America’s biggest holiday of the year, Thanksgiving Day. The action starts in Detroit at midday, as the winless Lions battle reignite their century-old rivalry with the visiting Chicago Bears as slim 3-point underdogs. The scene shifts to Dallas later in the afternoon, with the NFC East-leading Cowboys taking on the foundering Las Vegas raiders as strengthening 8-point chalk. The day closes with a Thanksgiving edition of Thursday Night Football, as the Buffalo Bills clash with the New Orleans Saints as 6-point road favourites.

CanadianBettingSites takes a look at all the odds and trends as the NFL Week 12 action gets underway. Sports bettors looking to get in on NFL action for the first time can check out our guide to NFL betting sites in Canada to learn all they need to know to get the best out of their football betting experience.

Chicago Bears -3 vs Detroit Lions

Team Records
Bears: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS (3rd, NFC North)
Lions: 0-9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS (4th, NFC North)

The Detroit Lions continue to search for an end to their epic 14-game winless streak when they open the Thanksgiving Day schedule as 3-point home underdogs. The Lions fell just short of victory for a second straight week last Sunday, dropping a narrow 13-10 decision to the visiting Cleveland Browns that dumped their record on the season to 0-9-1. The team came dangerously close to ending their slide a week earlier, but failed to capitalize on their opportunities in a 16-16 ties with Pittsburgh.

The Lions hope to have quarterback Jared Goff back in action after he missed last week’s contest due to injury. However, Goff has been unable to singlehandedly rescue a Detroit offence that has averaged just 16 points per game through their first 10 outings. Despite failing to find the win column, the Lions have produced respectable results at the sportsbooks, covering the spread in three of their past four, but are 0-3 ATS when pegged as underdogs by fewer than 6.5 points.

Offensive production has also emerged as a massive concern for the Bears, who arrive in the Motor City on a 0-5 SU run. Chicago has averaged fewer than 16 points per game during that slide. However, the Bears have regularly manhandled their divisional rivals, going 6-1 SU in seven overall meetings, including a 0-3 SU run at Ford Field. While this contest could go either way, no one should expect offensive fireworks.

Best Bet: UNDER 42.0 (1.91) at Sports Interaction

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys -8

Team Records
Raiders: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS (3rd, AFC West)
Cowboys: 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS (1st, NFC East)

The Las Vegas Raiders will be desperate for a win to preserve their sinking playoff hopes as they visit the Cowboys on Thursday afternoon as fading 8-point underdogs. Pegged at +6 on the Week 12 opening odds, the Raiders have steadily lost ground since. That comes as no surprise considering the team’s recent performance, with last weekend’s crushing 32-13 loss to Cincinnati marking their third straight SU and ATS loss, and making the Bengals one of the NFL Week 11 Best Bets.

Overall, the Raiders have now lost five of seven since opening the season on a 3-0 SU roll, a run that features a pair of outright losses on the road as betting favourites. Further complicating matters in Las Vegas’ dismal record in November contests, as well as a three-game slide against Dallas in which they have averaged just 16 points per game.

The Cowboys also have some work to do after dropping a 19-9 decision in Kansas City last weekend that marks their second defeat in three outings. The team’s shaky offensive struggles come in stark contrast to their impressive performance over their first six contests, during which they averaged 29.3 points per game. And any rebound will at least partially hinge on the available of rusher Ezekiel Elliott and receiver CeeDee Lamb who opened the week listed as questionable for Thursday’s contest.

Best Bet: Cowboys -8 (1.91) at Bodog

Buffalo Bills -6 vs New Orleans Saints

Team Records
Bills: 6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS (2nd, AFC East)
Saints: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS (2nd, NFC South)

Pegged as Super Bowl favourites as recently as last week, the Bills travel to the Big easy looking for answers after suffering a stunning 41-15 loss in Indianapolis last weekend. That marked the team’s second bad beat in three outings, and toppled them from their familiar perch atop the AFC East standings.

The Bills’ hopes of rebounding are heavily dependent on the performance of quarterback Josh Allen. An NFL MVP candidate entering the season, Allen has struggled horribly over the past three weeks, connecting on just four total scoring passes against five picks after tossing for 17 TDs against just three picks in his previous seven outings.

However, timing may be on Buffalo’s side as the Saints aim to overcome woes of their own. New Orleans returns home after suffering a humbling 40-29 loss in Philadelphia last week that extends their current SU slide to three games. The Saints have also lost two of three at home this season. However, the team has risen to the occasion when pegged as home underdogs, going 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their past seven.

The Pick: Saints +6 (1.90) at Bet99