It’s come down to this. After a hard-fought weekend of conference championships, just two teams remain standing with one single game left in an NFL season like no other. The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are back to make it two in a row, but their opponent has a special, unprecedented advantage: the NFC champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to become the first team ever to play a Super Bowl inside their home stadium. With the cannons prepped to fire aboard the pirate ship at Raymond James Stadium, it’s time for CanadianBettingSites to roll through the very best Chiefs vs Bucs Super Bowl LV picks, including money line and point spread bets, over/unders, single-quarter props, and more.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Well, here it is. The big game, and a big question: is it more likely that Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs take care of business against teams they’re expected to beat, or that Bruce Arians’ Bucs keep pulling upsets and place a seventh championship ring on Tom Brady’s heavily bejeweled fingers? After knocking off the No. 2-seeded Saints and No. 1 seed Packers in back to back weeks to take the conference title, it’s a plausible theory that there just aren’t any more rabbits for the Tampa Bay boys to pull out of their hats, but home field in the Super Bowl is home field in the Super Bowl.
And this Buccaneers defense has a proven an incredible ability to make all-world quarterbacks look mortal when the games matter most.
Aaron Rodgers has only been sacked more than once in a game on four occasions this season, including today's game. Two of those came at the hands of the Buccaneers' defense.
— Scott Smith (@ScottSBucs) January 24, 2021
That presents the kind of betting value that’s too good to pass up.
Pick Tampa Bay (2.46) on the money line to slay one last giant and win Super Bowl LV over the Chiefs. A $20 bet cashes out for a handsome $49.20 at BetOnline.
Against the spread, there is likewise some attractive value in Bucs +3 (2.0). A $20 wager at Bet365 promises to pay $40.
Bucs vs Chiefs Over/Under 56 Points
Kansas City is coming off dropping 38 points against the best Buffalo Bills team in a generation. Tampa Bay just thumped 31 on the Green Bay Packers on the road at frigid Lambeau Field. Fans will be treated to two highly talented defensive units in Super Bowl LV, but the quality on offense is absolutely dazzling. Mahomes “only” has one championship ring, one league MVP award, and one Super Bowl MVP to his name, while Brady’s trophy case is so massive that it exerts a gravitational pull.
Each QB has won two games.
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) January 25, 2021
And with game-breaking skill players like Tyreek Hill, Mike Evans, Travis Kelce, and Rob Gronkowski in tow, this war will not be one of attrition. It just won’t.
Bang the over on 56 total points (1.89) between both teams in Super Bowl LV. A winning $20 ticket redeems for $37.86 at Unibet.
Bucs Over/Under 26.5 Points
Tampa Bay is averaging 30.67 points per game through three playoff contests, every one of them on the road. They scored fewer than 27 points in half of their regular season games, but only once since 29 November.
And given TB12’s reputation for catching fire and going off when there’s a Lombardi Trophy on the line — he averages a healthy 43.56 pass attempts in nine career appearances in the big game, and has thrown for at least two touchdowns in six of them — the numbers are going to be there. Don’t overanalyze this one. It’s Tom Brady in the Super Bowl.
And somehow, the football gods decided that this was meant to be a home game.
Take the over on 26.5 total points for Tampa Bay (1.80). A $20 bet pays out $36 at BetOnline.
Which Team Will Have the Highest-scoring Quarter?
Another intriguing subplot in this game: Which QB truly gets to claim the mantle of “Comeback Kid” (setting aside the fact that Brady is technically old enough to be Mahomes’ dad)? The Chiefs made a habit out of dramatic second-half comebacks during last year’s dream postseason run to glory, while Brady’s 39 career fourth-quarter comeback victories are second only to Peyton Manning in NFL history.
Are Kelce and Hill the best TE-WR duo of all time? pic.twitter.com/ShGInoYr4J
— PFF (@PFF) January 25, 2021
Deciding who’s got the best ability to come up huge in the clutch will be crucial in determining which team is poised to author the highest-scoring individual quarter. KC took that distinction during conference championship weekend, posting a 21-spot in the second period of their win over the Bills at Arrowhead Stadium.
That bodes well for them down in Tampa, where the Bucs will have every chance to start fast and give Andy Reid’s team an excuse to throw it an absolute ton in response.
Pick the Chiefs to post the highest-scoring individual quarter (1.71) in the Super Bowl. A winning $20 ticket at Sports Interaction would redeem for $34.20.
It's been 16 years since Andy Reid and Tom Brady last met in the Super Bowl.
A lot has changed. pic.twitter.com/c4gGAe1sG8
— NFLonCBS (@NFLonCBS) January 25, 2021
Will Both Teams Score Over 24.5 Points Each?
Patrick Mahomes’ status was in real doubt after he took a massive hit against the Browns in the Divisional Round and ended up in concussion protocol. He ended up cleared to play against Buffalo and looked every bit as good as a reigning Super Bowl MVP should. And if that remains true for at least the significant majority of this much-anticipated NFL season finale, Kansas City shouldn’t have much trouble meeting a threshold of at least 25 points.
As for the Bucs, they put up 24 earlier this year against the Chiefs in a losing effort. Brady tossed a pair of interceptions, but added 345 yards and three touchdowns through the air. The difference between 24 and 25+ this time around could come down to a single pass.
And we all know what has happened to oh-so-many who bet against Brady on the biggest stage.
Bang the over on each team to scoring above 24.5 points. Betting $20 at top sportsbooks cashes out for an attractive $45.