Breeders’ Cup 2020 Betting Picks

All eyes around the thoroughbred racing world are on Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Kentucky this week with the return of the richest show on turf (and dirt): the Breeders’ Cup World Championships. The 37th running of the Breeders’ Cup Classic highlights the weekend’s festivities, but 14 races will be run overall, with plenty of opportunities for currency bettors and Bitcoin bettors alike to find some serious value. That means it’s time for CanadianBettingSites to roll through the best and brightest 2020 Breeders’ Cup picks, focusing on six key races.

Breeders' Cup 2020 Betting Picks

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

Purse: $1 million USD

Four-year-old colt Vekoma (4.5) is the betting favorite as of this writing on the strength of three straight wins in 2020, with Firenze Fire and Complexity (both 5.0) nipping at his heels. The one to watch in Saturday’s Dirt Mile, however, is Knicks Go (8.0), a real threat to explode out of the gate and create some separation early.

The most important factor? Vekoma trainer George Weaver has said he’s leaning toward nixing this race and running the colt in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint instead.

Knicks Go is a smart pick, with a $10 bet to win cashing for $80.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

Purse: $1 million USD

Gamine is a healthy favorite at 2.5 in this seven-furlong, all-female event and has duly earned the substantial buzz she’s generating, but there’s a ton of quality in this race that makes her path to victory anything but an easy one. Keep an eye on three-year-old filly Speech (17.0), who already has a Keeneland win to her name thanks to a July triumph at the Ashland Stakes. Notably, Speech outran fellow Sprint challenger Venetian Harbor (13.0) in that 8.5-furlong race.

Speech is an attractive underdog pick at Bodog, with a winning $10 bet cashing for $170.

Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Purse: $2 million USD

The other race for which Vekoma (4.0) is the favorite presents some pitfalls for front-running bettors. At six furlongs, Vekoma hasn’t run a race this short in over two years — a first-place finish at Belmont in an MSW race featuring decidedly unspectacular competition — and hasn’t raced at all since July.

In this sprint, Nashville (10.0) is an attractive and not-at-all-sneaky contender. The undefeated colt isn’t as battle-tested as some of his fellow challengers, but specializes in these short courses. Not for nothing, his last win came at Keeneland in a six-furlong scamper just like this one. And he dominated.

Nashville is a smart pick in the Sprint, with a winning $10 bet landing an even $100.

Breeders’ Cup Mile

Purse: $2 million USD

Uni (6.0), the defending champion in the Mile, is back for more in a stacked field. Trained by turf specialist Chad Brown, the six-year-old mare has run one-mile races exclusively for the last three years, but will need to hold off a stern challenge from Ivar (8.5), fellow Brown-trained horse Digital Age (10.0), and current favorite Kameko (4.5).

For what it’s worth, there hasn’t been a repeat winner in the Mile since Wise Dan went back-to-back in 2012 and 2013. There’s no replacement for experience, however, and Uni owns two Keeneland wins in past one-mile races, including a mere month ago at the First Lady Stakes. Expect her to start towards the back of the pack but close strong.

Pick Uni to repeat in the Breeder’s Cup Mile, cashing $60 on a $10 bet to win.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Purse: $2 million USD

Storybook endings can be elusive in the sport of kings, but it’s all built up to this for Rushing Fall, who currently sits as co-favorite with Tarnawa at 4.5. The Five-year-old mare’s racing days are expected to be over in short order, and she’s got every chance to go out on top with a spirited showing at Keeneland, where she’s won an amazing five different times.

She’ll have her proverbial hands full holding off four-year-old Mean Mary (a nice value pick at 8.0), Cayenne Pepper, and Terebellum (both 8.5), but the narrative is just too perfect.

Pick Rushing Fall to make it six wins at Keeneland and ride off into the sunset, with a winning $10 wager at Betway cashing out at $45.

Breeders’ Cup Classic

Purse: $6 million USD

Ah, yes, the big one! There’s lots to love about the Breeders’ Cup Classic (and a cool $3.12 million USD going to the winner isn’t shabby, either). Tiz the Law and Improbable both clock in as co-favorites at 3.5, but there’s some serious value on the board in Saturday’s 1.25-mile main event.

Tom’s d’Etat is a buzzworthy contender that ought to feel somewhat disrespected by 8.0 odds, though this is set to be the longest race of the seven-year-old’s career. If that’s got you feeling apprehensive, you may find yourself gravitating toward one of three Classic steeds trained by the great Bob Baffert.

Improbable has the best odds of the Baffert trio and Authentic (6.0) is coming off a famous win in the Kentucky Derby and a runner-up finish at the Preakness, but you’d better not sleep on Maximum Security (5.0). The four-year-old is always fast out of the gate, and was on a rip-roaring six-race win streak before finishing second behind Improbable in September’s Awesome Again Stakes. All told, this is a colt that combines a high ceiling with favorable value.

Going with Maximum Security will earn $50 on a winning $10 bet at Sports Interaction.