It’s all come down to this! After a college football season like no other, two titans boasting decades upon decades of championship-rich tradition are the last two standing in the 2021 College Football Playoff. On January 11, Nick Saban’s Alabama Crimson Tide will compete for their sixth national championship in 12 years, while Ryan Day attempts to enter the ultimate winners’ circle for the first time as head coach of the Ohio State Buckeyes. The action promises to be fast and furious, and that means it’s time for CanadianBettingSites to roll through the finest College Football Playoff National Championship picks for 2021, including money line and point spread bets, over/unders, first-half props, and more.
Alabama vs Ohio State 2021 CFP National Championship Picks
The SEC champion Tide are naturally the favourites heading into this final, decisive game, improving to an amazing 12-0 on the season with a just-like-they-drew-it-up 31-14 semifinal victory against Notre Dame. Meanwhile, after struggling in a winning effort in the Big Ten Championship Game against Northwestern, the Scarlet and Gray are surely the hotter team on form, absolutely torching an outclassed Clemson squad 49-28 in upset fashion to punch their ticket to Monday’s CFP capper in Miami Gardens.
But quarterback Justin Fields’ latest and greatest star turn notwithstanding, the fact remains that OSU simply hasn’t faced an offence or a defence as good as Bama’s. There are too many paths to a Crimson Tide victory, and too few for the boys from Columbus.
On the money line, pick Alabama (1.35) to defeat Ohio State to win the College Football Playoff National Championship. A $20 bet cashes out for $27 at BetOnline.
Against the point spread, Alabama -8 (1.95) is still the superior value pick. Wagering $20 on the cover stands to pay out $39.05 at William Hill.
Best Ohio State Upset Odds vs Alabama
Fancy a second OSU stunner in as many games? After ripping off a major upset against Clemson, the Big Ten champs surely feel as if they can do no wrong. After all, fresh off going for six touchdowns on 22-28 passing, Fields is a man possessed. He’ll be the first one to say “I told you so” if and when the Bucks slay another giant and bring even more hardware back home to the Horseshoe.
If you’re locked in on Ohio State, (3.45), betting $20 will earn you a nice $69 at Bet365.
Interested in betting against the point spread, but not prepared to crown the underdogs as national champs? Betting on the Buckeyes +8 (1.95) pays out $39.05 on a $20 bet at top sportsbooks.
OSU vs Alabama Over/Under 76 Total Points
The Buckeyes and Tigers combined for 77 points on New Year’s Day. Just a couple short weeks ago, Alabama and Florida combined for a whopping 98 in the SEC Championship Game. But don’t be seduced by the over in this contest; the likelihood that Ohio State saved its two best games of this strange, shortened season for the very end is modest at best, and this Alabama juggernaut rarely needs to score even 30 points to win.
Mac Jones, Devonta Smith, and Najee Harris will get their numbers — they’re a better bet to set the world on fire than Fields, all things being equal — but the wise money isn’t on a bang-bang shootout that stays interesting late into the fourth quarter.
Bang the under (1.91) on 76 total points. A winning $20 ticket at Unibet redeems for $38.20.
Alabama Over/Under 38.5 Points
The Tide have only posted a point total below 38.5 twice this season, though one of those two occasions happened to be in the semifinal against Notre Dame. You’d almost never have guessed that this team went nearly the entire season without superheroic gadget man Jaylen Waddle, as their offensive arsenal is still as locked and loaded from the trenches to under center to the skill positions as any college football team in recent memory.
There is no more accurate passer in the college game than Mac Jones, while Smith has an authentically strong case for being the single best player in the nation this season. Yes, these Bama boys will score their points. And given that so many of their superstars will be playing their last college game, Saban and Co. won’t take a foot off the gas early.
Take Bama to hit their over (1.667) on 38.5 points for the game. A $20 bet at Bodog would earn $33.34.
Ohio State Over/Under 33.5 Points
Can anyone stop Trey Sermon? The Oklahoma Sooners transfer has been scampering out of his skull of late in a Buckeye uniform, rushing for an incredible 331 yards against Northwestern and following things up with a 193-yard performance in the Clemson game.
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) January 2, 2021
There’s nothing wrong with stealing some of Fields’ limelight, but a run-first attack won’t get it done against Bama’s high-wire act. Sermon will have his role to play, but a ball-control offence (and the running clock that tends to go along with it) isn’t the blueprint for a high-scoring affair — not with such a narrow margin for error.
Bang the under on Ohio State at 33.5 points for the game. A winning $20 wager at top sportsbooks would redeem for $36.67.
OSU vs Alabama First Half Point Spread
If we’re accepting the idea that Alabama finishes the game leading by more than eight points, what are things poised to look like at the halftime whistle? There’s no reason to believe that Saban’s boys will start slow; that’s simply not something they do. In fact, there’s a plausible chance that their halftime lead is bigger than the final margin due to the bettor’s oldest, most ruthless enemy: garbage time.
With that in mind, there’s great value to be had in picking Alabama to cover a 5.5-point spread in the first half. A $20 ticket cashes out for an even $40 at top sportsbooks.