English Premier League: Value Picks as the EPL Returns

Notice! Actual odds are subject to change and are correct as displayed only at the time of publishing: 12:13 PM 15.06.2020.

After a long and unplanned hiatus, the English Premier League is the latest top-flight soccer division to return to action. On Wednesday, June 17th, Aston Villa and Sheffield United will be among the first to resume with both sides having plenty to play for.

Right across the division, everything is yet to be decided from the title, European places and relegation so let’s look at some selected games from the next round and see where the value might lie.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United

On Friday night, June 19th, Spurs host Manchester United in what is the biggest game of this round. Both sides are aiming for the top four slots which result in qualification to the Champions League but while United’s form was in the ascendancy prior to the break, Spurs returned a dismal run of results.

Going into this match, the moneyline market is a tight one with Manchester United the narrow favourites at 2.50 with PowerPlay. Spurs to win is the next option at 2.75 with Bet365. Completing the moneyline options is the draw at 3.17 with Sports Interaction.

Spurs haven’t won in their last five matches but manager Jose Mourinho will be quick to point out long term injuries to key players such as Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min. Both men return to the squad but can they make a difference?

Norwich City vs Southampton

At the opposite end of the table, this is the most crucial game as far as relegation is concerned. Bottom of the league Norwich City simply must win to keep their slim survival hopes alive while Southampton is more comfortable but will need to keep picking up points.

This match is also being played on Friday and the moneyline market shows some more tempting figures with Southampton favourites at 2.15 with Bodog. Victory for Norwich City can be claimed at 3.20 with Spin Sports while the draw is quoted at 3.50 with PowerPlay.

Norwich’s Teemu Pukki is the Canaries’ most likely source of goals and we would suggest looking at the Finn in the individual goalscorer betting. As for the result, Norwich’s desire and desperation could be the key against a potentially complacent Southampton side.

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

This is another game where all three Moneyline prices have risen above 2.00 and it will, therefore, give us a good return if we can pick the winner. Bournemouth is also fighting relegation and hadn’t won in their last four matches prior to the break. In contrast, Crystal Palace has won three of their last four and that record will have many bettors edging towards the away side.

The moneyline odds for this one show Bournemouth in front and the Cherries are listed at 2.5 with 888Sport. That leaves Palace as the value bet at 3.00 with 10Bet while the draw completes matters at 3.25 with PowerPlay.

Everton vs Liverpool

In English soccer, games don’t come much bigger than the Merseyside Derby and this year, there is even more at stake. With the EPL back, Liverpool is ready to seal their first-ever Premier League trophy and bitter rivals Everton will be desperate to stop them.

The moneyline odds for Sunday’s match are far more clear cut with Liverpool way ahead. You can back Jurgen Klopp’s men at 1.53 with Bet365 while victory for Everton is way back at 5.50 with Bodog. The draw completes the market at 4.30 with Spin Sports.

Liverpool had built up such momentum before the break and, if that continues, the away win is beyond doubt. Merseyside Derbies can often have the effect of lifting Everton but this is one match where we have to side with the favourites.

Verdict

As the EPL returns after a long absence, some punters will be keen to overlook the form guide but, as the German Bundesliga has shown us, most sides tend to be carrying the momentum over into the new round of fixtures.

For that reason, we’re going to start by tipping Manchester United to beat Spurs. Both sides have key players back from injury but United’s season has been transformed since the signing of Bruno Fernandes in January and we’re backing the Red Devils to march on.

That game in North London has good value prices on all moneyline options and that’s the case in other matches too. In Norwich City versus Southampton, we’re going to back the outsiders this time and take the home win. Norwich is fighting hard to stay up while the Saints are almost safe and that extra desire should see the hosts get over the line.

Down on the South Coast, Crystal Palace to beat Bournemouth could offer the best value of the weekend. If the form is carried through from prior to the break, the Eagles’ run of three straight victories suggests that we should be jumping on their win price of 3.00.

Liverpool to beat Everton doesn’t quite offer the same exciting odds but it can be added into the following Parlay. It’s great to have soccer and the English Premier League back and these four picks will hopefully lead to a profitable return.

Best Bets:

  • Manchester United to beat Tottenham Hotspur at 2.50 with PowerPlay
  • Norwich City to beat Southampton at 3.20 with Spin Sports
  • Crystal Palace to beat Bournemouth at 3.00 with 10Bet
  • Liverpool to beat Everton at 1.53 with Bet365