UFC 248 Odds and Betting Preview

Notice! Actual odds are subject to change and are correct as displayed only at the time of publishing: 10:51 AM 26.02.2020.

The 248th edition of the Ultimate Fighting Championship is set to go off at the T Mobile Arena in Paris, Nevada on Saturday, March 7. The biggest MMA division on the planet usually lines up a top headline fight and once again, UFC has not let us down.

Billed as Adesanya vs Romero, the main event is a middleweight championship bout and, when there’s a title on the line, the sportsbooks will get busy in the lead up to the first bell.

The Headliner

The headline battle at UFC 248 is the middleweight title fight between reigning champion Israel Adesanya and his challenger, Yoel Romero. Early indicators suggest that Adesanya is set for a successful defence and he is currently available in the moneyline markets at 1.40 with PowerPlay. It’s a figure that leaves Romero out at 3.25 with Bet365 and there’s little to suggest that the sportsbooks haven’t got this right.

The tale of the tape shows us that Adesanya, who goes by the curious nickname of the Last Stylebender, has a perfect record of 18 wins in 18 fights with 14 of those victories being secured by knockout. Former American Olympic wrestler Romero has 13 wins and four defeats in 17 outings and while he can be dangerous in the right conditions, that’s a modest return to say the least.

The sportsbooks will get fully behind this one in the lead up to the first bell but at the time of writing, we just have that straight moneyline bet. Look out for the props in the days that follow but for now, let’s take a look at the rest of this UFC 248 card.


The Undercard

There are 11 fights in total on the card for UFC 248 and the night’s events begin with a bantamweight matchup between Danaa Batgerel and Guido Cannetti. There’s plenty to enjoy and a number of bouts to bet on but the highlight of the undercard is a women’s strawweight championship match between Zhang Weili and Joanna Jedrzejczyk.

Weili is the defending champion at this level and she will start as the hot favourite at odds of 1.51 with Spin Sports. Challenger Jedrzejczyk is the outside bet at 2.30 with 10Bet so is this another simple case of getting behind the short-priced fighter?

We suspect that this battle has more chance of producing an upset than the UFC headliner. Polish fighter Jedrzejczyk is a former champion in this division and is ranked number four in the world. She has won just 16 of 19 fights while her opponent Zhang Weili has a better record of 20 wins from 21.

Once again, there are no prop bets right now so it’s all about calling the result.

Verdict

We’re certainly not going to make a case for an upset in the main fight at UFC 248. Not only has Yoel Romero lost four of his 17 MMA bouts to date, but he’s also been defeated in three of his last four outings and looks to be a fighter on the slide.

Those win odds on the favourite of 1.40 could be shorter so we would advise taking them for a likely profit. When the Method of Victory betting opens for this headliner, we would also suggest looking to back Adesanya to win by KO.

In the women’s title battle, it could be much closer as the two fighters are tightly matched in the women’s pound for pound rankings. We’re going to take a punt this time and back Jedrzejczyk for the win. If you disagree, we would suggest waiting to back Weili by Decision as this should be a tough battle.

Best Bets:

  • Israel Adesanya to beat Yoel Romero at 1.40 with PowerPlay
  • Joanna Jedrzejczyk to beat Zhang Weili at 2.30 with 10Bet