In this article we are going to discuss the best UFC 254 odds, predictions, betting picks and prop bets for the great fight between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje.
It’s a new day in the UFC. With all-time legend Jon “Bones” Jones relinquishing the 205-pound title with an eye toward a famous move up to the heavyweight division, veteran stalwart Jan Blachowicz delivered a stunning TKO victory over betting favorite Dominick Reyes to claim the championship on September 26 at Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.
Some things, of course, never change, and with Jones no longer sporting gold around his waist, the most daunting, seemingly immovable champ on the UFC roster is now lightweight titlist Khabib Nurmagomedov. The undefeated Dagestani submission ace has a date with a hard-hitting challenger, interim champion Justin Gaethje, at UFC 254 on October 24, a 155-pound showdown featuring a delectable clash of styles sure to arrest the mixed martial arts viewing public the world over.
With that in mind, it’s time for CanadianBettingSites to highlight some UFC 245 odds and the very best Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje prop bets, including moneylines, method of victory, and over/under total rounds.
Best UFC 254 Main Event Odds: Khabib Nurmagomedov 1.39
The 32-year-old Khabib’s story as a UFC champion is one of sheer dominance. Since “The Eagle” won the vacant lightweight title in 2018 with a unanimous decision victory over Al Iaquinta in Brooklyn, New York, he has delivered consecutive submission victories against the legendary Conor McGregor and former interim champion Dustin Poirier. He hasn’t fought in over a year, but he’s decidedly the favorite against Gaethje, a human highlight reel known for his punishing, precise striking and enviable gas tank.
Khabib Nurmagomedov Submission Win Odds: 3.30
There may be no greater claimant to the title of MMA grapple king than Khabib Nurmagomedov. A former combat sambo champion in his native Russia, he’s finished off 10 of his 28 opponents as an undefeated pro fighter via submission, including three of his last five. Fans should fully expect the Eagle’s game plan to focus on getting things done on the ground, taking away Gaethje’s advantage in the standup game.
The one wild card here? Gaethje actually has legitimate wrestling skill, yet almost always chooses not to use it in the octagon. If that holds true once again, consider taking a crack at Khabib to win by submission at 3.30 odds at William Hill.
Best UFC 254 Main Event Upset Odds: Justin Gaethje 3.30
Gaethje, 31, relished his underdog role in the main event of UFC 249 against the fearsome Tony Ferguson on May 9, delivering a furious master class that ended in a fifth-round TKO win, netting him the interim 155-pound belt (and a pair of $50,000 performance bonuses from Uncle Dana). He once again enters a pay-per-view main event with the odds stacked against him, but boatloads of bettors will surely remember what happened the last time they underestimated “The Highlight.”
Trading blows in a standup battle paid dividends for Gaethje in the Ferguson fight, but Khabib is a different beast — one that presents the toughest challenge of his career to date, and by leaps and bounds. Those feeling bullish should pull the trigger on Gaethje’s 3.30 odds at William Hill, a number that modestly underrates his chances to pull off another shocker.
Justin Gaethje KO/TKO Win Odds: 4.0
Gaethje really can squeeze this one out if he shoots the moon and is the very best version of himself. While there’s always the specter of a controversial split decision hanging over the proceedings in a heated five-round fight, we know exactly what kind of fighter Gaethje is: a sweet-swinging brawler.
With an incredible 19 of his 22 professional MMA wins coming by KO or TKO, it’s abundantly clear that his best chance on October 24 is to defend the takedown long enough to deliver land a gobsmacking shot totally flush. That’s no easy task against Khabib, who proved against McGregor that he’s no slouch when it comes to his overlooked striking game, but we can fully expect that Gaethje’s game plan will skew towards exactly that.
This makes top sportsbooks’ 4.0 odds for a Gaethje upset win specifically by knockout a worthy proposition.
A cool gif from Gaethje Ferguson I found on reddit, 56 seconds of thudding shots. Credit in top reply. pic.twitter.com/bOLFHgb2yK
— SMESH (@SmeshJitsuOnly) September 28, 2020
Khabib vs Gaethje Under 4.5 Rounds Odds: 1.625
This one may as well be a slam dunk. If Khabib wins, there’s a high likelihood that he wears the challenger out with his elite ground game and finishes things off with the neck crank that doomed McGregor or the rear naked choke that felled Poirier. If Gaethje shocks the world again, his path to victory is through a series of right-handed bombs that force the referee to call a merciful stoppage (just ask Ferguson, Cowboy Cerrone, Edson Barboza, or James Vick). That’s just how these guys tick. It will be one of the great surprises on Fight Island if this one goes the full 25 minutes.
With that in mind, bang the under on 4.5 total rounds in this fight, which MyBookie currently offers at 1.625.
Odds for Khabib vs Gaethje Ending in a Draw: 51.0
Feeling frisky? Counting on a dodgy 10-8 round throwing a wrench into the works if and when this fight somehow does go the distance? Well, you might be as crazy as Diego Sanchez’s obscure new age beliefs on time and space, but there are odds worth perusing nonetheless.
If you’re convinced due to some manner of mystical premonition that this fight is going to end in a shocking draw, you can find 51.0 odds at top sportsbooks.