The UFC lightweight title will be on the line when the scene shifts to Toyota Center in Houston for UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15. Michael Chandler lags as a strong underdog to claim the belt when he battles Charles Oliveira in the UFC 262 main event. Chandler makes his bid for the vacant UFC lightweight crown in just his second appearance since joining the UFC following a successful decade-long run with Bellator. Currently pegged as the No. 3 contender on the UFC lightweight rankings, Oliveira leads the way as a slim betting favourite in his first shot at the UFC title after claiming victory in each of his past eight octagon appearances.
Lightweight contenders will also command the stage in the UFC 262 co-main event as Beneil Dariush takes on former interim UFC lightweight champion Tony Ferguson as betting chalk. Dariush has emerged as a rise star in the UFC lightweight division while posting wins in six straight fights. Conversely, it has been a tough year for Ferguson, who was denied a chance to fight former UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and subsequently fell to defeat in two straight octagon appearances.
CanadianBettingSites has you covered with all the odds, trends, and best bets ahead of next weekend’s action at Toyota Center. And if you are a new player, we recommend you check out our How to Bet on UFC primer.
|UFC 262 Odds|
Can Chandler Bring Bellator Magic to UFC Title Shot?
Michael Chandler will be aiming to maintain the dominating edge that lifted him to the top of the Bellator lightweight division on three occasions over the past decade when he enters the octagon against UFC veteran Charles Oliveira. After closing out his Bellator stint with a pair of decisive opening-round knockout wins, Chandler made it three in a row inside five minutes with his TKO win over Dan Hooker just 150 seconds into their clash at UFC 257.
Chandler vs Hooker ufc 257 pic.twitter.com/TVmGkodDH3
— President-Elect Toguro (@ComradeToguro) January 24, 2021
Quick finishes have been somewhat of a trademark for Chandler, who has seen 13 of his 27 career victories come inside five minutes, including a spectacular victory over former UFC lightweight champion Benson Henderson in his final Bellator appearance last summer. However, the native of High Ridge, Missouri has also come out on the wrong end of speedy finishes. Each of his past two defeats have come in the first round, capped by a stunning TKO loss to Patricio Freire at Bellator 221 that cost him the Bellator lightweight crown.
— SportsWeekMMA (@sportsweekmma) May 11, 2020
Indeed, Chandler has enjoyed limited experience fighting in championship rounds during his 12-year professional MMA career, with just six of his 27 career fights extending beyond the third round. He has also produced mixed results in marathon clashes, with three of his five career defeats coming in extended matchups.
Oliveira Looks to Seal Legacy with Championship Win
Oliveira hopes to extend his recent trend towards quick finishes as his long wait for a title fight finally comes to an end. “Do Bronx” earned his title shot with a three-round unanimous decision win over Tony Ferguson at UFC 256. However, Oliveira has strengthened his credentials as a bona fide submission specialist during his current eight-fight win streak.
Here are the deadliest submissions we’ve seen from ‘Do Bronx’…👀
— Sportskeeda MMA (@sportskeedaMMA) May 5, 2021
The 31-year-old has choked out opponents on five occasions during his current climb up the UFC rankings, and in the process setting the UFC record for most career submissions. A third-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Oliveira also shares the record for the most finishes in UFC history, and his 10 career Performance of the Night bonuses are the most received by any fighter in UFC history.
Give Newcomer the Nod in UFC 262 Main Event
With neither of these fighters typically going the distance, sports bettors should be shopping around for the best value odds favouring an early finish to this fight. And with Chandler and Oliveira combining to rack up 33 total submissions over their lengthy career, the likelihood of this clash ending with tap outlooks large.
New blood of the lightweight division
Longest active win streaks
Charles Oliveira 8
Beneil Dariush 6
Islam Makhachev 6
Leonardo Santos 6 pic.twitter.com/knEgsvT1Vc
— nobody (@nobody33091938) February 8, 2021
But who has the edge? Oliveira has clearly set himself apart from his rivals in the UFC lightweight division during his epic win streak. But considering how effectively Chandler has stormed onto the UFC stage, and his demonstrated ability to beat opponents with punches and on the mat, it is tough to overlook his betting value as an underdog. Take Chandler to pick up the win, with a $20 bet at Bodog (2.10) paying out $42.00.
Can Ferguson Rebound Against Rising Star Dariush?
A loser in each of his two trips to the octagon in 2020, Tony Ferguson aims to get back in the win column as he battles rising star Beneil Dariush as a betting underdog. Victorious in 12 straight outings on his rise to interim UFC lightweight champion. While Ferguson has chalked up his recent adversity as a learning experience, it has raised questions as to whether he can rebound against Dariush, who has demonstrated exceptional versatility and impressive punching power during his current six-fight win streak.
Tony Ferguson is set to return against Beneil Dariush in a top 10 lightweight clash at UFC 262 on May 15th.
— Asian Persuasion MMA (@APMMA_net) March 12, 2021
Listed as betting chalk in his upcoming UFC 262 clash, Dariush has finished opponents by submission and KO on four overall occasions during his current surge. And while Ferguson is among the best in the game at taking a punch, look for Dariush to wear down the former champ as he continues his rise towards a shot at the UFC lightweight title. Take Dariush to win (1.65), with a $20 bet at Sports Interaction paying out $32.90.