UFC 263: Adensanya, Deivison Favored to Successfully Defend Titles

Notice! Actual odds are subject to change and are correct as displayed only at the time of publishing: 11:19 AM 11.06.2021.

Two UFC title belts will be on the line when the UFC returns to the Arizona desert on Saturday June 12 for UFC 263. In the evening’s main event, Israel Adesanya will try to bounce back from his first career defeat as he puts his UFC middleweight title on the line as a heavy favorite in a highly anticipated rematch with Marvin Vettori. The co-main event features a battle for the UFC flyweight title as champion Deivison Figueiredo goes toe-to-toe with Brandon Moreno for the second time in six months, also as heavy chalk. MMA fights are also in for a treat earlier in the evening as Nate Diaz returns to action for the first time since his unsuccessful bid for the symbolic BMF championship, as he takes on Leon Edwards in a five-round welterweight matchup.

CanadianBettingSites takes a look at all the trends and best bets as the countdown continues towards UFC 263 at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona. And if you are new to MMA betting, we recommend you take a few moments and read our page on how to bet on UFC.

ufc 263 betting picks

UFC 263 OddsBodog10BetSportsInteraction
Israel Adesanya1.371.311.32
Marvin Vettori3.103.103.25
Deiveson Figueiredo1.401.341.34
Brandon Moreno3.002.953.10
Leon Edwards1.201.161.21
Nate Diaz4.504.404.25

UFC Middleweight Championship: Marvin Vettori vs. Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya will be eager to atone after falling short in his bid for the UFC light heavyweight championship against Jan Błachowicz at UFC 259. The previously undefeated Nigerian proved to be no match for Blachowicz, who took a sizeable weight advantage into the octagon. The champion successfully matched Adesanya on his feet, and held a clear advantage on the mat on his way to victory.

Chastened by his first career loss, expect a ferocious response from “The Last Stylebender” in his rematch with Moreno. The two clashed clashed in an epic three-round matchup three years ago at UFC on Fox 29, with Adesanya eking out a narrow split decision win. The fight marked somewhat of a turning point for Adesanya, who had finished opponents in each of his previous 12 fights as a pro, but has now seen six of his past nine fights decided by the judges.

Listed as a lengthy underdog in his rematch with Adesanya, Vettori’s fortunes have also dramatically changed since his first meeting with the current champion. “The Italian Dream” has gone undefeated in five outings since his loss to Adesanya, marking his longest win streak since joining the UFC five years ago. The 27-year-old has kept busy ion recent months, posting a unanimous decision win over Kevin Holland last time out at UFC Vegas 23, and earned a Fight of the Night bonus for his five-round unanimous decision win over Jack Hermansson at UFC Vegas 16 in late December. Overall, Vettori has seen eight of his past nine fights go the distance after finishing opponents in 10 of his first 13 pro outings, a run that featured eight wins by submission.

As was the case when these two fighters first met, expect an epic marathon battle. And while it is tough to go against the champion to defend his title, sports bettors would be wise to shop around for value bets on this fight going the distance.

Pick Adesanya (1.37) to bounce back, and successfully defend his UFC middleweight crown. A $20 wager will generously pay out $27.55 at Bodog.

UFC Flyweight Championship: Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

The UFC flyweight championship will be on the line as Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno meet in the octagon for the second time since December. The two fighters met at UFC 256 in a clash that ended in a majority draw, but sports bettors would be unwise to be too overconfident about Moreno’s prospects this time around. In addition to enjoying just three weeks rest after defending his UFC flyweight crown with a submission win over Alex Perez at UFC 255, “Daico” entered his December date with Moreno at less than 100% after battling an infection that kept him in hospital until the morning of the fight.

The judges also played a huge role in the clash ending in a draw after deducting a point from Figueiredo for an illegal strike, denying the champion the win. However, Figueiredo should be well rested and in good health this time around, as he seeks his fourth opening-round victory since joining the UFC four years ago. Of course, Figueiredo cannot afford to take Moreno lightly. “The Assassin Baby” has emerged as a rising star in the flyweight division while avoiding defeat in his past six outings, including an impressive first-round TKO win over Brandon Royval at UFC 255. And while this clash has all the makings of an epic battle, it will be tough to go against a healthy and well rested champion.

Pick Figueiredo (1.34) to retain his title. A $20 wager at 10Bet will return a payout of $26.89.

Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz

Nate Diaz has earned just four wins in his past nine trips to the octagon, and faces a huge challenge against Edwards, who returns to action riding a nine-fight unbeaten streak. However, sports bettors writing off Diaz as washed up, do so at their own peril. While the product of Stockton, California sports a checkered record, he consistently rises to the occasion against top-flight competition as evidenced by his recent wins over Anthony Pettis and Conor McGregor.

Edwards is pegged as a massive favorite, and for good reason. “Rocky” has been dominant since his game-changing loss to Kamaru Usman almost six years ago. However, it is tough to ignore the betting value found in backing Diaz, who will enjoy considerable fan support in the desert. Shop for the best value in betting on Diaz to tally a submission win.

Pick Diaz (4.25) to record the upset. A $20 wager at Sports Interaction will return a payout of $85.